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ECN publication
Title:
Modelling technological progress in a MARKAL model for western Europe including clusters of technologies
 
Author(s):
Seebregts, A.J.; Kram, T.; Schaeffer, G.J.; Bos, A.J.M.
 
Published by: Publication date:
ECN Policy Studies 1-8-1999
 
ECN report number: Document type:
ECN-RX--99-028 Article (scientific)
 
Number of pages:
16  

Published in: Paper to be presented at the European IAEE/AEE Conference "Technological Progress and the Energy Challenge" 30 Sept. - 1 Oct. 19 (), , , Vol., p.-.

Abstract:
The paper describes experience gained from experiments with thecomprehensive energy system model MARKAL for Western Europe, including endogenous technology learning based on the learning-by-doing mechanism. These experiments have confirmed the benefits expected from adoption of the mechanism. An important issue, often overlooked in simple models, is the notion of interdependency between (families of) technologies, rather than considering individually learning technologies. An approach to address such clusters has been developed and tested. The results indicate that the new 'cluster feature' improves the internal consistency and allows for assessment of spill-over and cross-over effects, and other mechanisms identified in technology dynamics. Insights are gained in economic benefits associated with context-driven technological progress, as well as in the potential of R&D and market deployment policies. 17 refs.


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