ECN publication
Assessing Security of Energy Services in Dutch Energy Transition Scenarios
Published by: Publication date:
ECN Policy Studies 11-2-2015
ECN report number: Document type:
ECN-E--15-006 ECN publication
Number of pages: Full text:
61 Download PDF  

This report compares and assesses several gas and electricity oriented energy transition scenarios for 2030 on a range of security of energy services dimensions, while taking into account effects for system costs and CO2 emissions. To this aim, both gas and electricity oriented energy systems have been integrally compared on their ability to withstand unforeseen disruptions and to adapt to them. Given the propagation of shocks along the system value chain, it is simulated how price spikes would impact on energy users through dedicated security of energy services indicators. These indicators provide objective and quantitative insights in the resilience, flexibility, redundancy, and diversification dimensions of the energy transition scenarios. Results indicate that scenarios that deploy significantly more gas-based technology options do not score better towards 2030 on security of energy services than electricity oriented scenarios.

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