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Title:
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Evaluation of realised energy savings with simulation models, a new policy tool for the Netherlands
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Author(s):
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Published by:
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Publication date:
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ECN
Policy Studies
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5-2-2013
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ECN report number:
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Document type:
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ECN-E--13-004
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ECN publication
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Number of pages:
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Full text:
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44
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Download PDF
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Abstract:
This report describes a new analysis tool for the evaluation of realised energy savings, and effects of savings policy, in the Netherlands. It aims to meet the information needs of policy makers, both at national and EU level, using the monitoring results of Agency NL. The system builds on the Protocol Monitoring Energy Savings to calculate realised savings. The innovation consists of the option to adjust energy models per sector, as already used for scenario analysis, to simulate past developments. The simulations can estimate total savings and assess the contribution of policy measures. The detailed simulation approach also enables the decomposition of energy trends into volume-effects due to growth, structural effects such as fuel substitution and import/exports, and various saving effects. As the modeling system is already used for the analysis of future trends, it enables a good comparison between ex-ante (expected) savings and ex-post (realised) savings. Finally, the system enables a faster delivery of calculation results than presently is the case.
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