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Title:
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Sectoral European energy model SEEM: a model description
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Author(s):
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Published by:
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Publication date:
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ECN
Policy Studies
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1995
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ECN report number:
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Document type:
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ECN-I--95-033
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ECN publication
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Number of pages:
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Full text:
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74
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Download PDF
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Abstract:
SEEM is a tool to analyse effects of economic and energy relateddevelopments and policies (e.g. European integration, energy prices,
liberalization of markets, varying economic growth rates) on energy demand
and CO2 emissions. The model consists of four demand sectors, viz. households, services, industry, and transport, and one supply sector
electricity production, resulting in endogenous electricity price formation.
It combines an econometric and a more technological oriented approach, where
cost minimizing behaviour is assumed for all sectors. For each sector the
model is based on a step wise factor or fuel share approach. In the first
step demand for production factors or consumer goods is determined, based on
among others assumptions on economic growth, prices and elasticities. This
results in total energy input in a sector, which will be disaggregated based
on relative fuel costs. One of the outputs of the four demand sectors is
electricity demand, which is used as input for the electricity production
sector. Based on relative production costs the structure of the electricity
sector is determined, which results in electricity production costs. In the
sector models (end-user) prices are calculated as sum of (world market)
import prices, direct energy taxes, margins, and value added taxes.
Technological progress is specified exogenous for the sectors households,
services, and industry, by introducing an autonomous efficiency improvement
parameter. In the transport and electricity production sector technology
related information is included, which simulates introduction of new
technologies or BAT (Best Available Technology). Data used in the model are
in general based on IEA data sources, and completed by technical data from
EFOM databases, transport data from the International Road Federation, and
data from several other sources. 10 figs., 26 refs., 5 appendices.
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